The Sim: Runs LDS Record to 7-1, Very Annoyed With Humans
Well, the Diamond Mind
sim correctly called the Rays-Chisox game, and a strong outing from Scott
Kazmir was the key, as projected. And the Rays' bullpen made it
stand. One of the
keys to the game, according to The Sim, could be wildness by the Rays' bullpen,
a potential risk point. When the Tampa pen
gave up no walks, it was lights out for Chicago.
The Sim also projected Jermaine Dye or Paul Konerko as the most
likely hitting stars of the game, and Dye certainly proved that out, going 4
for 5. Alas, it was all for naught.
The intangible we listed for game 2 was the status of Carlos Pena.
Unfortunately, we never got around to re-running The Sim without him in the
line-up, but it ended up being a key factor in the Rays' favor, as Willy
Aybar came through in Pena's place, going 2 for 3 with a double and a run
scored. As the saying goes, it takes 25 guys.
The Sim missed the winner of the Angels-Red Sox game, and it blames Ervin
Santana. The Sim's response is: "Hey, I'm not perfect – I was
programmed by humans, after all!" But The Sim did say that Santana
was the essential key to an Angels victory. With him blowing up, their
fate was sealed, despite the close finish. The Sim would like to remind
everyone that it did predict that Dice-K would have a solid start, which
he did, and correctly called Mark Teixeira and Chone Figgins as
the likely offensive stars, and that they were. Teixeira went 3-for-3
plus a walk and a sac fly, one RBI and 3 runs scored, while Figgins, who had
been slumping, went 2-for-5 with a key 2-out RBI single and the big triple that
set up him scoring the tying run. In fact, The Sim is annoyed with me
today, because it did project J.D. Drew as the Boston player most likely to have a big
night, but I saw the probability numbers as low enough that I didn't include
that in the blog post. My bad. Does a simulation accept apologies…?
Still not sure about The Sim? See how it did in Tuesday's and Wednesday’s games.
Want to know more? Check out our LDS predictions on ESPN (ALDS, NLDS), or here:
NLDS
ALDS
- Dayne
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