

Boston's Lester, Ortiz Key in Tight Red Sox-Angels ALDS

Toss a coin! We ran the simulation for game 1 of the Angels-BoSox series.
Out of 1,000 simulation runs, the Angels won 501 games to the
Red Sox 499... but the Red Sox average 4.0 runs, compared to 3.8 for
the Angels! We have never had a simulation so close for anything. Our
overall sim runs favored the Angels, but game one is a toss-up.

On average, none of the Red Sox did much offensively, and David
Ortiz (left, No. 34) was pretty much an of
fensive zero. Our projections for the
entire series showed that keeping Papi in check would key an Angels win.
But the difference appears to be Boston starter Jon Lester (right) - when he does well and goes deep into the game, the Red Sox have the edge.
So, our sim runs seem to say to watch Lester and Ortiz.
Check out our LDS predictions on ESPN (ALDS, NLDS), or here:
Not sure about The Sim? See how we did in Tuesday's games.
Want to know more? Check out our LDS predictions on ESPN (ALDS, NLDS), or here:
NLDS
ALDS
Rays-White Sox Game 1
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